MMV is a viral infection that can cause a serious disease (called MMD)

MMD patients are unable to control their natural urge to make mathematical models that attempt to describe biological phenomena

The rapid MMV test gives a positive result:

• 100% of the time for people with the virus

• 5% of the time for people without the virus

A certain population has a prevalence of 1%

You pick a person from this population at random, and test them, and the test is positive.

• What is the probability that they have MMV?

You learn that your friend has a positive rapid test for MMV. What do you tell them?