September 2021

Information processing

Scales

  • The top of the hierarchy involves putting things on scales

  • But what scale do we use?
    • Are our data anchored to zero?
      • If so, are we interested in differences or ratios?
    • Are they anchored somewhere else?

Anchors

Utter problem algae

Utter problem algae

Utter problem algae

Global temperature

Global temperature

Global temperature

Magazine circulation (advertisement)

Magazine circulation (absolute amount)

Magazine circulation (trend)

Magazine circulation (trend)

Area and volume

Advertisement lessons

Ratio scaling

Physical quantities

  • 1 is to 10 as 10 is to what?

  • The log scale is often good for concrete quantities:
    • When zero means zero
    • When we are thinking about things that might be added together
      • But not when we actually want to add them together!

Provinces of Canada

Provinces of Canada

Provinces of Canada

Provinces of Canada

Provinces of Canada

Provinces of Canada

Coronavirus incidence

Coronavirus incidence

Coronavirus incidence

Odds-ratio scaling

Probabilities

  • 1% is to 10% as 10% is to what?

  • There is a simple, good answer
    • No single answer will always be best

Example

  • 20% of the adult population is unvaccinated, but they account for 60% of clinical diagnoses

  • How much greater is their risk?

Odds ratios

  • The odds of an adult being unvaccinated is the ratio of the probabilities unvaccinated:vaccinated
    • 0.2/0.8 = 1/4
  • The odds of a diagnosee being unvaccinated is
    • 0.6/0.4 = 1.5
    • The odds ratio is 6 – that’s the correct measure of relative risk
    • You can work this out the long way
  • Odds are a natural basis for doing calculations with probabilities
    • These calculations are usually ratio-based
  • Therefore: a good scale for many probability questions is the log-odds (or logit) scale

Probabilities

  • 1% is to 10% as 10% is to …

  • There is a simple, good answer
    • No single answer will always be best
  • Odds scale: 1/99 is to 1/9 as 1/9 is to 11/9
    • Probability scale … 55%
    • Has a concrete meaning, for example screening tests:
    • if 1% prevalence implies 10% of positives are true, then:
    • Has a concrete meaning; if 10% prevalence implies 55% of positives are true

Coronavirus vaccination

Coronavirus vaccination

Coronavirus vaccination

Transformation lessons

  • Transformations don’t make your data less real

  • Different perspectives illuminate different questions

  • Use visual clues to suggest whether your scales are additive